Posted Monday 27th August 2007 08:27 GMT
Not if, when! #
"It could all be a different story if the dollar does fall through the floor. But it's all a big if at the moment."
Surely that's a *when*, not *if*. They have no assets backing the dollar, only US Government debt. They're running a huge trade deficit, which requires dollars be printed to cover the external debts. The dollar gets dilluted. The money supply number increases so your debtors know the dollars they hold are being dilluted. M3 being the key one, since it shows the dollars going abroad to pay external debt.
So lets look at the US M3 money supply number.... oops can't, they stopped releasing that number in 2006 after it spiked. It gave US creditors the willies to think they might be holding bits of overprice toilet paper, so the best Rovian plan was to conceal the bad news.
To me, that's a big warning sign, when the best course of action is to start hiding the numbers, it's akin to not opening the threatening letters from the credit card company.
I see Bush & co's strategy of capturing oil assets and putting them under US oil companies control. But the cost in US$ alone is so high it would have been cheaper to just buy the damn oil.
There's no way USA can afford the short term cash to invade Iran (or even Venezuela) offset against a long term gain of having that as a dollar asset. Yet from the desperate rhetoric coming from the Whitehouse, it looks like that's the only strategy they have to fix this.
If they did invade, they'd have to print dollars like crazy (crash).
If they don't invade, they have to cut expenditure to balance the books (crash).
*When*, not *if*.
Pretty amazing to see how one President can turn a whole country around and drive it into the ground in as little as 8 years. Bush really is the worst President ever.
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