
Re: "27-68 percent?! Can't you get any ACCURATE results?! "
That is the point, this is the range of failure rates across the different disk systems whose failure data was assessed. By giving the range they are giving you the accurate and useful statistical result and the information that different designs of storage shelf have substantially varying failure rates.
Re: "Could they not have talked to the top tier vendors (EMC, HDS, IBM et al) and ask what components fail the most?"
Nope, because many vendors don't want to admit what the real failure rates are as this would damage the marketing impression that if you spend 10 times as much money on big iron your data is perfectly safe.
Re: "but if the AFR (sic) is higher in the backplanes and connecting wires, doesn't spanning racks increase the chance of failure?"
Not if implemented properly. See the internal architecture of the Sun X4500. It is designed to let you lay out the 48 disks in RAID 6 (RAID Z2) dual parity sets that can survive either a controller or disk plane failure without losing access to an intact array. Yes this exposes the RAID group to greater danger after an interconnect failure but I would take that over loss of the RAID group as you now have options on how to deal with the failure that don't start with a restore from the last backup.
Re: "leave it to the professionals"
Well, that is rather the problem, many of the 'professionals' are still promoting high margin, monolithic big iron that takes the 'throw more tin at the problem' approach to storage reliability instead of innovation and science. See http://storagemojo.com/2008/02/24/why-do-storage-systems-fail/ for some examples. The sort of technology that eBay and Google have used brings real business benefit, when implemented properly it beats big iron on both price and Mean Time To Data Loss (forget MTBF, that is a distraction and frequently a fiction). If you can store the vast volumes of data that these operators do for 1/10th or less of the cost of 'enterprise' price storage systems then you are more competetive. Stand back and watch distributed parity storage systems with smart software such as ZFS take over from the expensive tin as the market starts to understand storage reliability and cost.