Re: 40 millions are gone
While I don't think Nimble will be gone in 5 years, I do think they're being severely outrun by Pure.
I'm looking over Pure's earnings announcement as I type this, and I'm amazed at how much they continue to grow. Even though Nimble's announcement a couple days ago was decent, and I do think they have a solid and broader product portfolio they could capitalize on, I have doubts as to if they can catch up. Their AFA may be too little, too late.
If they can't make a DRAMATIC increase in revenue by capitalizing on their product portfolio over the next 9 months or so (a full year of AFA sales), and start closing the revenue gap with Pure, then my guess is they'll always lag behind and be an "also ran".
But even if that happens, I don't think they'd go under. They'd just exist as yet another mid-market array vendor who happened to IPO. In other words...yawn.